BANKING PREDICTIONS 2026

The Middle East banking reality check

Backbase

What today’s banking predictions overlook about execution, scale, and competitive advantage in the region.

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Justin De Niese

Backbase

Associate Partner at McKinsey & Company

Testimonial

The shift isn’t ‘more AI pilots’, it’s embedded intelligence built for supervision: decisioning that’s transparent, controls that are auditable, and workflows that run at scale. In markets shaped by regulators' expectations and digital frameworks, this is how banks turn innovation into trust and ROI.

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Alina Beleuta

Backbase

Chief Growth Officer at Salt Edge

Testimonial

Open Banking APIs are the foundation for banks to enable APIs as a customer acquisition channel. While the Middle East is focusing on adopting Open Finance regulated APIs and Banking-as-a-Service APIs, in Africa, APIs enable connections between banks and mobile money operators, expanding access to underbanked populations—driven mostly by market need rather than regulation.

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Tejal Kaur

Backbase

Fraud and Identity SME at Feedzai

Testimonial

Fraud prevention in 2026 won’t be won with more tools or siloed detection, but through unified orchestration and complete customer intelligence. Financial institutions need real-time platforms that combine full visibility of customer identity and behavior with adaptive AI, turning regulatory demands into competitive advantage while strengthening customer trust

Backbase

Reham Sabri

Backbase

AGM - Senior Director of Premium Banking at Commercial Bank of Qatar

Testimonial

Meeting expectations is no longer enough. The real shift is toward anticipating client needs before they are expressed. Intelligent advisory will be defined by proactive service, where banks use insight and context to act ahead of the customer and deliver meaningful, timely support.

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Amjad Ramahi

Backbase

Director of Solutions Engineering - MEA at Backbase

Testimonial
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In a maturing GCC landscape, growth will not be won by adding branches, but by building regional engines grounded in shared knowledge and a scalable execution framework. Banks that think beyond borders and scale through unified, technology-driven platforms will turn each new market into a faster, more efficient replication of success.

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Marwan Abouzeid

Backbase

Principal Digital Strategy Consultant, Middle East at Backbase

Testimonial

Digital transformation gets funded on ambition. It succeeds or fails on operating discipline. The region's most promising strategies are only as strong as the execution model behind them.

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Erdem Ilhan

Backbase

RVP Technology - Middle East at Backbase

Testimonial

AI, open finance, regional expansion — every one of these trends breaks on the same thing: platform readiness. The banks that solve for architecture first will move faster on everything else

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About this report

Why a reality check

Five trends are reshaping Middle East banking in 2026. Each one presents a massive opportunity, and each one demands a different kind of readiness. This report explores what regional banks need to move from strategy to execution, built on insights from Backbase experts and practitioners working at the sharp end of these shifts.

Part of a global series

The trends shaping Middle East banking are part of larger global movements. For the complete picture across retail, wealth, commercial banking, and more, explore our global predictions.

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Servizi bancari al dettaglio

01: AI moves from pilots to production

Intestazione

Middle East banks are investing heavily in AI, and the opportunity is enormous. But scaling from pilot to production requires more than ambition. The banks pulling ahead are the ones solving for architecture and ownership first, then layering intelligence on top. This section explores what that looks like in practice.

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02: Open finance moves from compliance to competition

Intestazione

Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and the UAE have built strong open banking foundations. The next question is what banks do with them. The biggest opportunity lies in treating APIs not as regulatory requirements but as distribution engines that unlock new revenue and deepen customer relationships.

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03: Fraud prevention becomes real-time and AI-driven

Intestazione

As digital banking grows, so does the fraud landscape. The good news: a new generation of prevention-led approaches is emerging across the region, shifting from reactive alerts to continuous, intent-based protection across the entire customer journey. This section looks at what's changing and why it matters.

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04: Multi-country expansion accelerates across the Middle East

Intestazione

Regional expansion is one of the most exciting opportunities in Middle East banking right now. The banks making it work share a common playbook: standardize the platform first, then scale. This section examines how the smartest expansion strategies are cutting time-to-market in every new geography.

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05: Digital wealth platforms become central to growth

Intestazione

The region's wealth is growing at extraordinary pace, and so is the opportunity to serve it. Banks that combine digital platforms with advisory augmentation are finding ways to expand coverage without sacrificing the personalization high-net-worth clients expect. This section explores how.

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  • Explore the global predictions for 2026

Backbase

Discover the trends that will define banking in 2026,
then find out how to turn them into sustainable growth.

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