The 2026 Banking Predictions Report
Backbase
Industry experts weigh in on horizontal and segment-specific trends, from open finance to AI-powered banking

Meet the leaders

Adrian McPhee
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Chief Technology Officer,
Backbase
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Chris Shayan
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Head of Artificial Intelligence,
Backbase
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Christine Martin
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Head of Treasury Management,
EverBank
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David Jimenez Maireles
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Fractional Digital Advisor,
D19 Advisory
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Jarno van Hurne
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Head of Digital Banking,
VP Product, Backbase
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Lennart Asshoff
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Product Director Wealth,
Backbase
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Max Flötotto
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Senior Partner,
McKinsey & Company
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Mindaugas Vaičiulis
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Head of Technology, Senior VP, Wealth Planning & Investments Tribe, Danske Bank
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Panagiotis Kriaris
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Director Business & Corporate Development,
Unzer
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Robert Soetens
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Vice President of Product,
Backbase
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Roland Booijen
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General Manager Ecosystems,
Backbase
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Stewart Allan
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Chief Information Officer,
Weatherbys Private Bank
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Stuart Cummins
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Chief Executive,
Nedbank Private Wealth
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Tony Ball
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President Payment & Identity,
Incoming CEO, Entrust
01: The AI-powered bank: from pilots to productivity
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2026 will be the year when AI moves from promise to performance in banking. Institutions that embed agentic assistants, workflow automation, and AI-driven compliance will convert hype into measurable ROI, including faster servicing, more efficient operations, and a dramatically accelerated SDLC.
02: The new frontier in banking fraud: trust in the age of deepfakes
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Trust will emerge as the defining competitive edge of 2026. By unifying detection, decisioning, and case management — and layering continuous verification and content-authenticity checks — banks will cut losses, boost confidence, and turn safety into a growth advantage.
03: The invisible payments economy: frictionless, borderless, & instant
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In 2026, payments will become fully embedded, invisible, and intelligent. Orchestration across cards, accounts, wallets, and digital currencies — plus instant settlement and programmable rails — will create new revenue at the moment of payment and set a new standard for reliability and transparency.
04: The open finance acceleration: from regulation to real revenue
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Open banking will evolve into open finance in 2026, creating a revenue engine for many financial institutions. Banks that productize APIs, monetize data, and embed services in partner ecosystems will shift from considering compliance costs to compounding distribution and realizing ecosystem-led growth.
05: The race for relevance: reinventing the bank’s role in an AI-native market
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In 2026, incumbents will face their toughest competitive test yet, but they’re far from out of the game. Those that unify their data and channels into a single, AI-powered platform will match digital natives on speed and surpass them on trust, governance, and accountable personalization.
06: Retail banking: proactively personal, AI-powered, & invisible
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By 2026, retail banking will quietly run in the background of everyday life. AI co-pilots will do everything from anticipating needs to automating money movement and elevating financial wellness, all while data-and-payments orchestration turns personalization into primacy and durable loyalty.
07: Private banking: augmented relationships & intelligent advisory
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In 2026, private banking will be defined by AI-augmented relationships and intelligent advisory. AI copilots will enable relationship managers to raise the minimum baseline of service for every client, while explainable, data-rich advice drives retention, share of wallet, and trust at scale.
08: Wealth management: hyper-automation meets personalization
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In 2026, wealth firms will fuse hyper-automation with human advice to scale white-glove experiences. Advisors will focus on life goals and strategy as AI handles prep, analysis, and next-best actions, paired with seamless onboarding and values-aligned portfolios for mass-affluent growth.
09: Small business banking: relationship banking, redefined
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In 2026, SMB banking will be redefined, with speed, precision, and ecosystems-based intelligence as the baseline. Agentic collaboration, instant KYC, embedded finance, and dynamic credit inside the tools businesses already use will deliver context-aware service, faster working-capital decisions, and reliable growth.
10: Commercial banking: predictive, modular, & growth-driven
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2026 will mark the rise of the intelligent commercial bank: faster, more modular, and fully growth-oriented. API-led treasury, agentic operations, and AI-centric risk, running on composable architecture with ESG-linked offerings, will turn banks into orchestration platforms for real-time liquidity and enterprise value.
Industry-wide trends

Segment-based trends

Read the report
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Discover the trends that will define banking in 2026,
then find out how to turn them into sustainable growth.
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