Banking reinvented

The 2026 Banking Predictions Report

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Industry experts weigh in on horizontal and segment-specific trends, from open finance to AI-powered banking

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Portrait of Henning Soller

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Henning Soller

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Partner at McKinsey & Company

Testimonial

The next decade won’t necessarily belong to the biggest banks, it’ll belong to the fastest learners. Those that unify data, channels, and AI into one intelligent platform will close the gap with digital natives and redefine what banking means.

Portrait of Sam Boboev

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Sam Boboev

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Founder & CEO at Fintech Wrap Up

Testimonial

In 2026, the most advanced banks will treat AI agents as full teammates, not side projects. Embedding agentic assistants into servicing, compliance, and product delivery will turn AI from a cost experiment into the fastest route to new revenue and a much shorter SDLC.

Portrait of Vadym Ivanenko

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Vadym Ivanenko

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Managing Director, EMECA / EEC Region, at Euronet Software Solutions

Testimonial

Payments are no longer a product, they’re the connective tissue of digital life. Leading financial institutions will make money move so seamlessly it disappears, yet becomes more valuable than ever through intelligence, context, and trust.

Portrait of David Jimenez Maireles

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David Jimenez Maireles

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Fractional Digital Advisor at D19 Advisory

Testimonial

As AI takes over, banks’ biggest threat isn’t technology, it’s indifference. If they can’t make every interaction personal, relevant, and human, customers won’t leave banking. They’ll just leave their bank.

Portrait of Panagiotis Kriaris

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Panagiotis Kriaris

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Director - Head of Business & Corporate Development at Unzer

Testimonial

As data access extends beyond payments and into savings, credit, and investments, the transition to open finance will accelerate. For banks, this is a big opportunity to move from fragmented interactions to holistic relationships — delivering personalized, predictive, and connected experiences.

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Retail Banking

01: The AI-powered bank: from pilots to productivity

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2026 will be the year when AI moves from promise to performance in banking. Institutions that embed agentic assistants, workflow automation, and AI-driven compliance will convert hype into measurable ROI, including faster servicing, more efficient operations, and a dramatically accelerated SDLC.

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02: The new frontier in banking fraud: trust in the age of deepfakes

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Trust will emerge as the defining competitive edge of 2026. By unifying detection, decisioning, and case management — and layering continuous verification and content-authenticity checks — banks will cut losses, boost confidence, and turn safety into a growth advantage.

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03: The invisible payments economy: frictionless, borderless, & instant

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In 2026, payments will become fully embedded, invisible, and intelligent. Orchestration across cards, accounts, wallets, and digital currencies — plus instant settlement and programmable rails — will create new revenue at the moment of payment and set a new standard for reliability and transparency.

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04: The open finance acceleration: from regulation to real revenue

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Open banking will evolve into open finance in 2026, creating a revenue engine for many financial institutions. Banks that productize APIs, monetize data, and embed services in partner ecosystems will shift from considering compliance costs to compounding distribution and realizing ecosystem-led growth.

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05: The race for relevance: reinventing the bank’s role in an AI-native market

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In 2026, incumbents will face their toughest competitive test yet, but they’re far from out of the game. Those that unify their data and channels into a single, AI-powered platform will match digital natives on speed and surpass them on trust, governance, and accountable personalization.

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06: Retail banking: proactively personal, AI-powered, & invisible

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By 2026, retail banking will quietly run in the background of everyday life. AI co-pilots will do everything from anticipating needs to automating money movement and elevating financial wellness, all while data-and-payments orchestration turns personalization into primacy and durable loyalty.

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07: Private banking: augmented relationships & intelligent advisory

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In 2026, private banking will be defined by AI-augmented relationships and intelligent advisory. AI copilots will enable relationship managers to raise the minimum baseline of service for every client, while explainable, data-rich advice drives retention, share of wallet, and trust at scale.

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08: Wealth management: hyper-automation meets personalization

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In 2026, wealth firms will fuse hyper-automation with human advice to scale white-glove experiences. Advisors will focus on life goals and strategy as AI handles prep, analysis, and next-best actions, paired with seamless onboarding and values-aligned portfolios for mass-affluent growth.

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09: Small business banking: relationship banking, redefined

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In 2026, SMB banking will be redefined, with speed, precision, and ecosystems-based intelligence as the baseline. Agentic collaboration, instant KYC, embedded finance, and dynamic credit inside the tools businesses already use will deliver context-aware service, faster working-capital decisions, and reliable growth.

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10: Commercial banking: predictive, modular, & growth-driven

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2026 will mark the rise of the intelligent commercial bank: faster, more modular, and fully growth-oriented. API-led treasury, agentic operations, and AI-centric risk, running on composable architecture with ESG-linked offerings, will turn banks into orchestration platforms for real-time liquidity and enterprise value.

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Predictions at a glance

Industry-wide trends

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Predictions at a glance

Segment-based trends

TL_BB Predictions_2026
  • Explore banking predictions 2026

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Discover the trends that will define banking in 2026,
then find out how to turn them into sustainable growth.

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